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Let's start with the basics. Climate change is inevitable - it has always been a continuous process and always will be. Looking back at the past one might well assume that the world will be ice bound again or that the world will be (again) a warm watery place. So the question is not really about climate change per se but our part in the process. The evidence supporting the proposition that climate change is currently driven by the actions of mankind is all bound up in computer models. As an (ex?) computer modeller I have doubts about our ability to model something as complex as a climate.

My general view is that in 100 years or so it will be warmer than now (following the long term trends of that last couple of thousand years) or it will be cooler than now - if the next ice age has started. It almost certainly will not be the same as now - and (generally) that has always been true.

The science is hamstrung by a lack of good data and the influence of politics. We should be looking for more and better data - and crunching that - not getting involved in belief systems and their inevitably poor resulting decisions.



So, in case we are indeed changing it. Are we changing it for the better? At least where I live, the weather seems to be better now than 5 or 6 years ago.




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