Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

Most important I even learned in physics graduate school was "physics research has many more 3 sigma effects than it should." Part of it is that if you do 100 searches you are going to see one three sigma effect. Couple that with reporting bias (only the interesting stuff is reported).


As far as I know, 3 sigma implies 1 in 370, not 1 in 100. (Still insufficiently unlikely for a conclusion.)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68-95-99.7_rule


And it certainly does not imply "one chance in 100 the result is a fluke". Will science journalists never learn how to interpret a p-value into English?


I imagine about 200 years after scientists finally stop getting it wrong, so almost surely never.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: