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My wife is a medical resident and the issues described by this doctor are absolutely pervasive in residency.

The strange part is, the overwork also seems to be pervasive among the attending physicians who have been out of residency for decades. Not just the residents.

As a tech founder analyzing the system from the outside, I think this writer has nailed the core issue: "... a doctor is just one of the many commodities in this complex industry. It’s no longer about the patient. It’s about the business of hospitals."

If doctors were viewed in their industry the way software engineers are viewed in ours -- as specialized skilled labor with extreme leverage and limited time -- then we would have well-supported, well-rested, and well-compensated doctors.

But as it stands, we have overworked and overtired doctors buried under a mountain of clerical work, who need to slot their patient in to 15-minute "encounters" in clinic to keep the profit machine running. Meanwhile, administrators, health insurance executives, and medical equipment CEOs work 9-to-5 and earn millions. It really boggles the mind and infuriates me, as a technologist.

p.s. Don't listen to any of the comment threads here that say long hours are required to reduce patient handoffs. Yes, it's true, patient handoffs cause some danger. But tired doctors make mistakes. Period. And, as this post indicates, a perpetually tired doctor burns out and either quits the profession or (worse) commits suicide, which is the worst possible outcome for the system.



Western medicine has turned into a ponzi scheme. The verifiable proof of this is to have an elderly family member in a nursing home who goes through the usual monthly trips to the hospital from 'falling'.

While Medicare covers almost all of it, it became so nauseating to read the outrageous EOB totals that I tried to put a end to it - I requested that unless the on call nurse (after hours) or physician (during business hours) deems the fall to be a life threatening emergency, they are to be kept in the facility.

They found a workaround for that real quick - it's nearly always deemed life threatening because they are 1) unable to determine internal bleeding 2) unable to determine if a bone was fractured/broken.

The obvious solution to this is to have an xray machine on site, because since everyone in the chain gets paid huge $, and it removes the liability from the nursing home to ship them off to the hospital, the merry-go-round of insanity continues. We have two family members in an assisted care facility for almost eight years now, and between the two of them, they've tapped Medicare for just under $700K. Together, the sum of both their incomes throughout their entire working lives never totaled that amount. This is why I call it a ponzi scheme.


Everything is really easy if you hand-wave away the facts: https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2016/p0922-older-adult-fa....

Elderly Americans experience about 29 million falls per year, which costs Medicare $31 billion. At about $1,000 per fall that seems quite reasonable. 27,000 older Americans die from falls each year. In an institutional setting like a nursing home, the rate of death per fall is even higher.

$700,000 for two people in assisted living for eight years is about $43,000 per year. That's not unreasonable for the cost of assisted care plus medical expenses.


Medicare wouldn't be paying for the assisted care: https://www.medicare.gov/what-medicare-covers/part-a/paying-...

A facility generating large numbers of fall investigations that don't lead to ongoing medical care seems like it would be pretty easy (potential) fraud to go after though.


29,000,000 / 27,000 = ~1,074 falls per death. ~At 1,000$ per fall that's ~1,000,000$ per death which seems reasonable on average.

However, medical expenses are top heavy. Some of those falls probably cost 200,000+$ because they cause long term medial issues. If a faculty is spending ~1,000+$ on an a median fall their average is going to be much higher than that. Which is a sign they really are providing unnecessary procedures.


Since Medicare is largely funded by payroll taxes, would you say that this is a wealth transfer from non-healthcare industry workers to the various participants in "the chain" of the healthcare industry?

https://www.medicare.gov/about-us/how-medicare-is-funded/med...


This is what horrifies a lot of us (British) about the NHS being further privatised. You create perverse incentives, beyond just providing the healthcare required.


Medicare isn't private. If it were, the premiums would be so high, that people would be forced to choose...


As I understand these things... Medicare is single payer and NHS is single payer & single provider. Which would make the British NHS more akin to USA's Veteran's Administration.

FWIW: I advocate single payer (Medicare for All), but not single (sole) provider.


We have two family members in an assisted car facility for almost eight years now, and between the two of them, they've tapped Medicare for just under $700K. Together, the sum of both their incomes throughout their entire working lives never totaled that amount.

Oh, but it gets worse. It's bad enough that the government is being bilked for hundreds of thousands of dollars on behalf of those without the ability to pay, but even for those with significant assets, there are "perfectly legal" tax dodges that can be set up for $XX,XXX so that Medicaid pays the $XXX,XXX bills while the family inherits the $X,XXX,XXX estate. And if you pay the lawyers a little more, they can probably even figure out how to avoid paying capital gains on the distributed assets if they are below $10 million.

I don't see much hope for the insurance reform in the US until we can get end-of-life costs under control. I don't if "Ponzi" is quite the right term, but it's definitely a system rife with fraud.

More generally, "House of God" is a stunning inside look on how the US medical system actual works: http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/11/10/book-review-house-of-go...


House of God is indeed an interesting book and a good read. I read it during second year of my residency, and it is incredibly sad how the stuff that is talked about in the book has gotten worse in some ways, though better in others.

I'm actively against the "bowel run" mentality. I do my best to avoid even the CYA test ordering, though I'm not in the ED where this can be the most rife. I see first hand the "ponzi scheme" (though IMO it is not the correct term) of the system and I chose to go into primary care because I actively want to fix this in any way I can, and being a specialist was not the way I thought would be best to do this.


I think the term is "gravy train".


Medicare doesn't examine assets.

Medicaid does.

Medicaid is the payer of last resort for nursing care though, not Medicare (which doesn't really cover long term care).


You are right. I can never keep straight which is which. I edited to my repetition of the mistake, but left the original quote as it was.


More book recommendations on HN should be a link to a good review like this, instead of just an Amazon link.


Sure - convince Scott Alexander to review more books? The problem is the supply of good reviews like this.


Sivers.org has got reviews and cliff notes for quite a lot of HN's favorite books, if you're interested. They're actually such good summaries of the books that a lot of the time I just read his synopsis and skip the book.


Thanks for the book recommendation engine recommendation! Noting it for when I get home; been looking for good ones.


> And if you pay the lawyers a little more, they can probably even figure out how to avoid paying capital gains on the distributed assets if they are below $10 million.

Capital gains costs bases are currently "stepped up" during the estate transfer. No need to pay anything to lawyers. If your estate is below $10.5M (or thereabouts, I forget what the exact number is since it's now inflation adjusted), you won't be liable for any of that capital gains, nor will you owe any estate tax since you're within the exemption.


Yes, but I think the trickiness is combining this with the combination of revocable and irrevocable trusts that "protects" the assets from Medicare. Although it's possible that in the case I'm aware of, it's NY state and city rules that required the additional layers. My main point is that the current system is designed so that it can be gamed by those with the money to pay the lawyers, and the lawyers have enough influence to keep the system broken such that they continue to benefit.

Despite this, do read "House of God" --- it's a terrifying and eye-opening book!


Ah I see. There are a variety of irrevocable trusts that move assets to a separate legal identity from the original owner of the assets (ex: charitable grantor trusts that are used by the Waltons often). This would reduce the size of the estate for both estate tax and medicare purposes.

In the past, transferring assets to such a trust entailed gift tax, but since the estate tax and lifetime gift tax exemption are now bundled together, you can basically "use" the estate tax exemption to fund this irrevocable trust "for free". As a result your personal assets plummet, you name your heirt the beneficiaries of the irrevocable trust, and you (the parent) can take advantage of medicare fully as you describe.

The drawback to this strategy is that you do lose real flexibility in controlling your assets. Also, the legality of this widespread practice is definitely in a gray zone and carries future legal risk. Transferring a significant portion of one's assets to such a complex instrument is definitely not advised.


This isn't much the case anymore from my experience. A generation ago I recall it being general knowledge that if a loved one had to go into the nursing home you would bankrupt and have medicaid pay. A relative tried that this recently and is close to destitute as a result.


I think you mean medical care in the USA. The schemes health providers resort to over there are world-renowned.


Do you think if the United States graduated more doctors every year, it would prevent doctors as a group from being overworked and overtired? As a college student, I often wonder why pre-med is so academically competitive despite the fact that the ambition to help others is a virtue; and whether that competitiveness to get a high GPA and MCAT score is needed at all.


There has been angst about medical school admissions for decades. Med school admission really is the hurdle to get over in the US. There are more residency spots than US MD graduates to fill them. By a wide margin.

There's a strong medical education research unit in the UK (Edinburgh?); I remember one of their reports on a series of med student interviews making the observation that it was unnerving how the top performing medical students weren't the most compassionate, they were the most ruthless.

I'm taking my boards soon and I have to say, the ability to commit to the task, regardless of the emotions of your self, patients, peers, support staff, and family can definitely be an asset at times. Do I hope to take a kinder view when I start working in a few months? I'm not sure kinder would be the word. Supportive of a somewhat different set of ambitions, perhaps.

Unfortunately, that ability to deny the emotions of both self and other in pursuit of good clinical care is difficult to separate from 1) the punishment of self-loathing, and 2) the behavior of someone who has been rewarded too long for blind obedience.


In recent years residency slots have become the bottleneck.


There are ~30,000 PGY-1 spots and only about 18,000 allopathic medical school graduates. (1) All the native allopaths and all the osteopaths together can't fill all the residency spots. We inhale foreign medical graduates.

(1) Pages v and 14: http://www.nrmp.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/Main-Match-Re...


This is a bit more nuanced than this.

There's 31,757 positions offered. However, if you are applying into a specialty, you apply simultaneously for a PGY1 and PGY2 position, so those people are being double counted.

As a result, you need to subtract 2,677 advanced positions from the 31k positions, yielding 29,080 PGY1 + PGY2. There are 18,539 US MD applicants, but with the merger of the ACGME and COCA, DO applicants must be counted, adding 3,590 to the US graduate pile. That gives 22,129 US graduates competing for 29,080 spots. Yeah we take a lot of "foreigners" but a lot of them are actually American citizens who went to school in other countries and many of whom have US medical education debt, 5,069 in fact (look on page 1, "IMGs"). If you add in the IMGs, that's 27198 US graduates and US citizens applying for 29,080 spots. Only space for about 2000 Foreign Medical Grads.

[1] - There are 5346 osteopathic graduates per year. http://www.osteopathic.org/inside-aoa/about/aoa-annual-stati...


I just wanted to reply to this comment with the NRMP match data for 2016. It's a pdf that we all use when applying for residency. Perhaps some people might find the information regarding each specialty's available positions/applicant number/median scores/etc helpful.

https://www.nrmp.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Charting-Out...


When it comes to the admission process aren't all IMG's considered the same irrespective of citizenship. So 5069 (citizens) + (x non-citizens) compete for the remaining seats (6951). Isn't that correct?


IMGs (Citizens) and FMGs (foreign nationals who went) are considered slightly differently.

IMGs have the advantage of speaking English and have no potential visa issues.

This distinction will matter more and more as the race for residency spots tightens and the US becomes more insular, because a lot of IMGs have US educational debt. It also matters where the person went to medical school, e.g. US citizen who went to Israeli medical school vs someone who went to the Caribbean vs an Indian national vs an Iranian national who now will have visa issues with trump. Visa issues are huge, because no one wants to match someone who can't show up for work 2 months later.

These subtle distinctions are not easily sussed out by NRMP data, but the trend is that in the current era, IMGs have a slight advantage.


So what good does increasing US medical school graduation rates do? OK, it would displace some IMGs/FMGs from residency positions, but it doesn't ultimately create more doctors. You can't be licensed to practice independently in the US unless you enter a residency, take the USMLE Step 3 after intern year, and typically you also take a specialty board exam at the end of residency.

See this to understand why the bottleneck is residency positions, not how many US medical students there are: https://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/20/opinion/sunday/bottleneck...


Wow surprised to see that almost half of all PGY-1 residents are foreign-trained.


That's not true, see the reply above yours for a better explanation.


The times are a' changin'

Dr. Emory Brown's work out if U Mass in anesthesia is a data point for this. He claims to have a working general anesthesia machine. From the talks and data of his I have seen, it really does work. Yes, it's not good for a pediatric car accident victims, but for tonsillectomies or proctology exams, you know 'routine' general anesthesia, the thing works great. He says that he uses it in his own surgery suite with better 'results' than a human can obtain.

Yeah, it's 10 years out, maybe 20. But this trend of replacing doctors with robots (and getting better outcomes) is not going away. So, that there is a current bottleneck may be true, but in the near future, we just won't need doctors for a lot of areas of medicine.


Not if you understand what makes up anaesthesia.

Control of consciousness is only one part of the intervention. Much of it is physical intervention with intravenous cannulation, intubation, extubation, ventilation management, and management of cardiovascular dynamics. Closed loop systems for sedation/unconsciousness may make inroads in the next 10 years but general anaesthesia will require physically capable robots.

Doing this everyday and knowing technology and robots the capabilities are a long way away.


I'm a former healthcare administrator and just want to point out that many many administrators work much more than the 9-5.

I'm also working at a healthcare tech startup aimed at reduced the administrative burden to doctors, administrators and insurers of managing their patients at home, which is where the worst outcomes often happen.

Each segment we work with feels this burden, it is not isolated to the physicians.


You might be interested in joining: https://groups.google.com/forum/#!forum/health-techies


How much selective pressure do doctors experience on their performance?

Healthcare is one of those fields where there's no guarantee on the quality of the service. There's no pay for performance. Actually, doctors who perform too well would reduce healthcare spending.

There are plenty of reasons to keep developers happy because it directly affects the end product and profit.


You should do a lot more reading about healthcare if you think there isn't pay for performance. The payers in the system all have massive incentives to reduce healthcare utilization.

Docs and hospitals have been dealing with 'P4P' for decades and the ACA ramped it up significantly for the CMS.


The CJR pay for performance and move to bulk insurance payment is a good illustration of this.

https://innovation.cms.gov/Files/x/cjr-faq.pdf


What is a good example of pay for performance in healthcare?


The latest example from CMS is the Readmission Reduction program;

https://www.medicare.gov/hospitalcompare/readmission-reducti...

In general, Medicare pays a certain amount of money for a patient with a specific diagnosis. So if 70-year old woman X is admitted with condition Y, the hospital will receive $Z for treating her -- no matter what it costs. Hospitals don't love that since having patients in beds is expensive, so they would often times discharge patients before it was medically appropriate. They would take $Z and then when the patient came back in a few days, they could bill for follow-up services.

With the ACA we started tracking hospital readmissions to see how big of a problem that really was, and if hospitals underperformed their peers (aka they saw a lot of readmissions indicating that patients were discharged too early), they would either not pay for the followup visits or just lower the overall reimbursement for future patients.

Another good example was the Hospital-Acquired Condition reduction program. There is an enormous amount of cost associated with hosptial-acquired infections and the US was particularly bad in terms of modern systems. If patients in your hospital are consistently catching bugs, Medicare will dramatically reduce your reimbursement rate.

http://www.beckershospitalreview.com/quality/769-hospitals-s...

Since the 1990s though, Docs have been working with P4P -- whether it's increased reimbursement from insurance companies for prescribing an appropriate ratio of generics vs. brand name medicines, to the lump-sum payment per patient, to bonuses for hospitals adhering to best-practices (what % of patients with chest pain get an aspirin with 30 minutes or what % are cath'ed within 90 minutes of presenting).


Medicare is obviously a big part of healthcare, but is this same pay for performance happening with private insurance? How has the consolidation of hospitals impacted this? Has it become harder to negotiate these deals with massive hosptital networks?


Private insurance actually started a lot of these initiatives. If you're a physician with a busy practice, at the end of the month, you'll get a check from all of the big insurance companies detailing how much they're paying you.

It doesn't read, "You saw 100 patients at $100/patient, here's $10,000."

It's more like, "You saw 100 patients, here's your per-patient fee of $50. You prescribed 87% generic medicines, which for a doctor with your patient population in your area underperforms by 2 percentage points, this equates to a $1,400 bonus -- if you prescribed 91% generics, this bonus would be $2,500. Only one of your patients required an off-formulary medcine, your bonus here is $500."

There are a lot of competing interests right now, the formerly independent doctor groups are all merging together, insurance companies are merging, hospitals are merging. There's also a big push for risk-based reimbursement:

http://www.mckesson.com/bps/blog/riding-the-shifting-landsca...


I can second the testimony about lots of upheaval and consolidation in the industry. A family member recently worked at a Big Law firm on antitrust cases, and a large portion of them had to do when recent M&A activity among hospitals, specialty clinics, and small practices. The days of the doctor as small-business proprietor are waning.


One interesting aspect with the consolidation of hospitals is that they are generally buying smaller hospitals, it isn't some massive merger which gives them immunity from anti-trust cases.


I'm not a medical professional, but the whole discussion of handoff risk always seemed to me like it was side-stepping the real issue presented, which is poor documentation and/or communication between peers. Instead, the premise is offered by the AMA that handoff risk can only be minimized by insane shift lengths.


My wife is now an attending, and all I can say is Amen.

The worst part is that many doctors often defend and work to perpetuate the system, rather than organizing to make it sane. It is truly boggling.


Is she a member of the AMA?


My spouse is a doctor as well, and I've also observed the issues the author discusses. I don't think your read of the causes here is correct.

It's worth reading more about the history of medicine to truly understand what's going on here -- the culture of abusive overwork in American medicine goes at the very least back to Osler and the invention of the modern residency program, and has as much to do with cocaine than any corporate malfeasance. Certainly hospitals and the medical industry profit from this culture, but they hardly created it.

Also, on what basis do you say that longer hours with fewer tradeoffs don't improve patient outcomes? You frame it as though it's obvious but is there any evidence to back that up? My wife and most other doctors I know all claim they'd rather have longer hours with fewer handoffs.


Every single study of the effects of fatigue on human cognitive ability that I am aware of indicate that A) fatigue can have massive deleterious effects on peoples' abilities to perform even simple tasks, and B) people are generally terrible at evaluating their own levels of fatigue. There's a good overview of a lot of this research here: https://hbr.org/2015/08/the-research-is-clear-long-hours-bac.... I don't know exactly what the costs are for more handoffs; my fiancée is a doctor, and she and multiple doctors have told me they have that same concern. But we have mountains of evidence demonstrating how rapidly cognitive ability degrades with fatigue. The idea that doctors, frequently working in a massively demanding, massively stressful setting, are somehow immune to those effects defies logic.


> The idea that doctors ... are somehow immune to those effects defies logic.

That claim was never made by OP. Can we have a discussion without attacking a straw man, please? You yourself acknowledge you only know one side of equation. If the other components are larger it would not matter that you have shown one aspect - that nobody disputes, incl. OP! - to be negative.

https://news.northwestern.edu/stories/2016/02/longer-shifts-...

> A new [...] study [...] showed allowing surgical residents the flexibility to work longer hours in order to stay with their patients through the end of an operation or stabilize them during a critical event did not pose a greater risk to patients.

> “It’s counterintuitive to think it’s better for doctors to work longer hours,” said principal investigator Dr. Karl Bilimoria [...]. “But when doctors have to hand off their patients to other doctors at dangerous, inopportune times, that creates vulnerability to the loss of critical information, a break in the doctor-patient relationship and unsafe care.”

I have no doubt that overall the long hours are bad, I only respond because you attack a position OP didn't take. Also, the long hours may still be a logical conclusion and even beneficial - within the twisted logic of dysfunction in the larger system: "For evil to triumph, all that is required is for good men to respond rationally to incentives."


The parent comment:

> Also, on what basis do you say that longer hours with fewer tradeoffs don't improve patient outcomes? You frame it as though it's obvious but is there any evidence to back that up? My wife and most other doctors I know all claim they'd rather have longer hours with fewer handoffs.

I responded with evidence.

And yeah, I've seen the FIRST study. The control group, in this case, is working a 16 hour shift. Even if they only need one hour on either side of that shift to go from asleep to work and then back to asleep (which is not what I have seen), that control group is maxing out at 6 hours of sleep, well below the level where all but a tiny percentage of the population starts to see serious performance declines. https://hbr.org/2015/08/the-research-is-clear-long-hours-bac.... A more useful study would look at residents who are actually well-rested - who have gotten the consistently required eight plus hours of sleep over a significant enough period of time to have eradicated their existing sleep debt - and then compare their performance going forward while they continue to get enough sleep to residents working 16 or 28 hour shifts.


I repeat:

> The idea that doctors ... are somehow immune to those effects defies logic.

That claim was never made by OP.

It doesn't matter that you responded with "evidence" to a claim you yourself made-up. Just stick to the topic and don't invent stuff.


Maybe patient handoffs are so dangerous because of the dysfunction everywhere else in the system. Maybe patient current-state summary and recent-changes log could be much better maintained, if doctors had a bit more time and the forms/systems for it were refactored a bit.

Doesn't it sound like medicine is like a web service infrastructure where everything is on fire, and there's just no time to really fix the root causes?

FWIW, my mother is an MD, a Family Practitioner. She eventually became head of FP for a small commercial hospital chain in the US. Two years ago, after perhaps 18 years of professional practice, she moved to New Zealand and is a FP in a small town. She takes 3 days off a week, has reasonable hours, does less paperwork, does more with her own hands which she would refer to specialists in the US. She absolutely loves it.


> patient handoffs are so dangerous because of the dysfunction everywhere else in the system

Anyone who has participated in a root cause analysis at a hospital knows that.


Agreed, this culture of abuse goes way back, and is as much rooted in a macho "I went through this, you're damn well going to" mentality.

I do think the increasing corporatization of medicine in the USA has accelerated the loss of autonomy and satisfaction, which makes the abuse and overwork far more difficult to take.


Yes I think this is an important point, medical culture plays a big role in this. The only place I've seen a similar culture is in the army.

If you're exhausted or in physical pain or have a cold, you not only power through it but you suck it up and refrain from complaining, even if you're assisting a surgery. You may be officially encouraged to know and respect your limits, but if you actually do this you quickly go from being a "brother in arms" to weak and unsuited for the profession.


> If you ... have a cold, you not only power through it but you suck it up and refrain from complaining, even if you're assisting a surgery.

Where all those hospital-acquired infections come from?


Leverage is the exact point. The problem is that due to their compassion and altruism they have no leverage. Design a system where doctors have to choose between destroying themselves and saving patients and they ethically are forced to destroy themselves. It's tragic and just as bad under socialised medicine if not worse.


There's one big difference between software engineers and healthcare: regulation.

A software engineer is hired for their skills (at least ostensibly). No one is required by law to hire someone with a specific degree and specific post-degree training and specific exams.

Contrast this with healthcare. To do certain sorts of procedures, you have to hire a physician. Not because it's demonstrably necessary to have someone with an MD and a residency in such-and-such area do this, but because it's required by law.

As someone else pointed out, this is just the tip of the iceberg. That residency? Residents have no bargaining leverage over their conditions by fiat of residency rules--they cannot leave an abusive residency, for example, to change conditions. Financing the residency itself? Businesses won't cover the expenses because it's not actually worth the costs, so the government foots the bill. And once you leave residency? Well, subspecialty organizations are deciding that it's good to carve out even more regulatory capture with subspecialty credentialing.

People do not grasp how much of this insanity is codified by law and rule, and when they are informed of it, they shrug it off in the name of "safety." It's like terrorism or crime: no one wants to be branded as soft on terrorism or crime, so the government becomes more and more invasive and draconian, and the costs of maintaining the military-police-industrial complex increase and increase. Similarly, no one wants to be soft on safety, so the government becomes more and more invasive and draconian, and the costs of maintaining the medical organization-physician-insurance-industrial complex increase and increase.

There's something disingenuous for physicians to complain about being overworked, and then fight against the things that would alleviate their burden the most: letting perfectly competent professionals with different backgrounds do what they do just as well. But that would mean admitting that you don't need an MD at the apex of healthcare.

To some extent, financial market pressures are doing what I'm saying anyway, as hospitals are realizing that MDs are too expensive as they are. So maybe this is just the first sign of things to come. But the downside of the current system is that administrators aren't allowed to go elsewhere for alternatives, so they just crank up the hours expected of MDs. The upshot is they get devalued without even being given the benefit of being let off the hook.

I guess to address your comment directly: if healthcare were actually a transparent free market, my guess is physician salaries would go down, but their workload would also decrease also. What you'd see instead is much more diversity in who you see for any given service.

The biggest sin of the government in the healthcare debate is willfully ignoring the costs of healthcare, by failing to increase competition, choice, and transparency in pricing. We talk about who pays, but not why we're being charged what we are, and whether or not it's worth it.


I think the credentialing in medical practice has more to do with the stakes involved than in some salary-padding or labor-control scheme. Patients want to be able to enter a hospital and have confidence that, when push comes to shove, even the worst MD on call is a better option than a "no-op" treatment.

Also, exorbinant salaries and good hours are not to be found in the hospital system. Yes, specialist doctors get paid "well", but not exorbinantly, when adjusted for required training, education, experience, and opportunity cost. In private practice, the hours are better, yes -- but only in certain subspecialties. But this is like saying major airline commercial pilots should just fly private charters for a better lifestyle, or that software engineers should just work at hedge funds as quants for better compensation.

It's the hospital system, not private practice, that shows us a healthcare system where doctors are being put to their unique purpose of advanced clinical treatment. And that's where the market is failing.

Healthcare requires the hospital system to provide the most advanced and emergent forms of care, and that is where doctors are overworked and undervalued.

As for the free market, I wish you were right that it could fix the US healthcare system. But patient health is, unfortunately, not valued correctly by the market. The market rewards chronic treatment, whereas society prefers one-time cures. The market tries to monetize patient-doctor interactions, whereas society would prefer fewer doctor visits with fewer hospitalizations. The market treats doctors as a cost center whose hours needs to be billed out at a profit, and society would prefer doctors as a value center who are given the professional leeway to use clinical judgment in assigning time to cases and patients.

I love market systems, but only when they work.


You are blaming the failings of the US healthcare system on "the market", but the market in health care in the US is not anywhere close to a free market. Some key reasons why not:

(1) The supply of doctors (and other health professionals) is restricted by licensing, not driven by the demand for their services.

(2) The price of health care is not determined by supply and demand, but by various regulatory arrangements and bulk agreements which often do not involve either the producers (doctors, hospitals, etc.) or the consumers (patients) of the services. So the parties who are determining the prices are the ones with the least possible stake in the outcome.

(3) The consumers of health care, patients, are almost always unaware of the cost of the services they are getting, so they have no way of knowing whether those services are worth more than they cost, and hence no way of signaling where health care is being inefficiently provided.

(4) What the US healthcare system calls "health insurance" is actually a combination of insurance and prepaid health care. Insurance is supposed to be for unforeseen costly events, but most health care does not consist of unforeseen costly events but of predictable expenses (annual physicals, shots) and unforeseen not very costly events (you go to the doctor with the flu, get an exam, and are told to rest and drink lots of fluids).

(5) Prescription drugs are regulated by a regime (the FDA) that is heavily penalized if an approved drug has any bad effects whatsoever, but suffers no penalty whatsoever for keeping helpful drugs off the market for years while they undergo "testing" and hence depriving large numbers of people of their benefits.

I'm sure there are more, but those are just the ones I came up with off the top of my head.


Good list, but one is missing:

(6) basic health care is not a market and pretending it is has been nothing but a moral and economic catastrophe in the US.


> basic health care is not a market

Why not?


Why would you as a consumer reward cronic care, vs a one time cure?

I myself would prefer the one time cure, and would be willing to pay for it.

In a perfectly free market, my demand for the one time cure would be represented by market forces.

Now ask yourself, what is it about the healthcare market, that PREVENTS my market demand for a one time cure, as a consumer, from effecting the market?


I'll just pick up on one piece of what you said, "meds from a psychologist." While I don't disagree that greed may be a part of it, unless that person's extra training involved a medical degree... that's truly been a crazy idea given the things that can go wrong even with "simple" medications, even when you know what questions to ask about other preexisting conditions and how to interpret the answers.

The other thing is that with the current system (i.e. medical doctor prescribes), there's liability coverage through the doc's liability insurance, which unless psychologists are interested in taking on huge liability insurance premiums...


I co-majored in a psychology and neurophysiology degree - psychologists should absolutely and totally be excused from meds prescribing. They do zero serious biochemistry, and often not even token biochemistry. Meds may need to be allowed to be prescribed by other professionals, but whoever it is should need to do some serious biochem training in some manner.


> biochem training

and pharmacology, and physiology, and several years on the wards watching the meds go in, watching the pee go out (or not), seeing what happens to the patient, sorting through laundry lists of meds at admission and discharge, losing arguments with pharmacy about why that max-concentrate K-Phos is a bad idea considering the patient's CCr was 1.1 yesterday and now it's 1.4, etc, etc.


I have a hard time believing that the "free market" can solve healthcare given that the demand for it is more inelastic than pretty much any other product.


It is absolutely NOT as inelastic as everyone assumes.

Most health issues are not emergencies. I as a consumer would be perfectly happy to shop around the market, and find the best deal on healthcare, if my efforts were rewards.

Unfortunately, prices are not transparent, and the costs are not payed directly by me. They are paid by my insurance provider, so why would I bother trying to reduce my bill by thousands of dollars, if someone else is paying for it anyway?


I agree. The incentives are out of whack. Being a self-pay patient over the last several years has been enlightening. The health care people I've dealt with are generally ready to go well out of their way to help make care more affordable. Once I was given an unasked-for 55% discount on an ER visit. (They're happy they don't have to deal with an insurance company!)

I've heard that people with high-deductible plans are now finding it advantageous to just say they are self-pay to get the discounts.

For comparison shopping, healthcarebluebook.com can give an average price for a certain procedure in your area.


The demand for food is also pretty inelastic, yet the free market seems to handle that fine.


No actually it does not. The government subsidizes food production and food for the poor HEAVILY.

Also food is cheap and plentiful to create.

And most importantly, food is easy to steal; the one important factor in a functioning free market libertarians tend to forget about is the natural control at the bottom, for the poor: if the poor need something in order to survive and can't afford it, they act as a check on greed and neoliberalism run amok by ignoring the fake magic pieces of paper that the wealthy wave around as tokens of power and take what they need.

It's a lot harder to steal health care so there's no incentive for the rich to modify the system to help the poor like there is with food.


Maybe its similar. My last 30-day dose of blood pressure medicine cost be 54 cents. And the store had shelves full of medicine all around me, thousands of them, all easily pocketable.


> The government subsidizes food production

Yes, and this is a bug, not a feature. Food would be cheaper if this were not done. The "subsidies" are to the food producers, to artifically keep prices up. The equivalent for health care would be subsidies to health care providers.

> and food for the poor

Yes, with food stamps. But nobody tells the poor what they have to spend the food stamps on, and nobody regulates grocery stores up one side and down the other telling them what food items they have to provide if they accept food stamps and what they have to charge for every single item. So this regulation is nothing at all like US health care regulation.

The equivalent of food stamps for health care would be to give poor people a flat sum of money per month on a "health care spending card" that they could use at any health care provider they wanted, for any service they wanted. And then no other regulation of health care providers--no rules about what services they have to provide, no regulation of prices, etc. I personally think this would be a significant improvement over the current US system.

> food is cheap and plentiful to create

Yes, and it would be cheaper if the government did not subsidize producers, as above. The reason for this is, of course, that there is a free market in food (or at least much closer to one than the market in health care) and so producers are competing on price, therefore driving them to make food production more and more efficient. A century ago in the US, food was not cheap and plentiful to create. Technology and production processes improve over time if they are forced to by competition. I see no reason why the same would not apply to health care, if it were competitive the way food production is.

> food is easy to steal

This is an interesting point, but I'm not sure how much difference it makes in itself, because even the richest person in the world can only consume a limited quantity of food. So it makes no difference to rich people whether the poor can steal food or not; even if they do, the rich won't be the one to suffer, someone much further down the income ladder will (if anyone does).

A more interesting aspect is this:

> It's a lot harder to steal health care

I would rephrase this as: health care is much less fungible than food is. You and I can trade lunches, but we can't trade, say, gallbladder operations or physical exams. I agree that this is potentially a valid reason to treat health care different from food. What might be helpful is to look at other goods or services that are not fungible and see how they are handled in comparison with health care.


Government subsidies are also responsible for a large part of the food production infrastructure -- not only is one of the biggest problems behind food transporting it from production to market, which is completely government subsidized (if food producers had to pay for the highways their trucks use/erode they would go out of business and not serve half the country) food not only is subsidized now, but HAS BEEN subsidized for every moment the industry has existed because it is a necessity. It is impossible to separate the food industry from government interference, they are permanently symbiotically joined. If food production can even now survive now without the government (it cannot in anything near its current form), this does not mean the progress we have today could have been made without it; it just means the government has done a good job of fostering and supporting the industry.

Food is heavily regulated, including the food bought by stamps. The government decides what can be purchased by the stamps, and every item of food sold in any store across the country is approved for safety and health. Without these regulations we would have massive constant food related deaths as producers compete on price and compromise safety to the detriment and possibly death of any customer who cannot afford the high quality "market regulated" product which is exactly what has happened in every unregulated industry in the history of the world. And for higher end products: the calculus of a PR cover up operation and possible civil suit vs. actually safely creating food is done by companies, and currently federal regulators weigh in on the side of 'you had better make this safe or else'. You are proposing pushing the balance here towards "well, if we can save a buck, screw it, we can tie the victims up in court until they go bankrupt and die anyway or blame it on the supply chain and promise we will do better" which makes safety much less important.

A health care spending card is perhaps a natural suggestion but is made all the more insidious because it is so. It is, in reality, an atrocious and murderous idea; the entire crux of health care is not only that it is essential to living and therefore has an infinite price and that quality is almost impossible for consumers to accurately assess but that needs for different people are drastically different, usually for reasons that have very little to do with their choices or desires, which is why it is generally taken care of by insurance while people do not buy "food insurance". Health care spending cards (or HSAs) are essentially a euphemism for condemning any poor person who gets sick to death.

And of course it makes a difference whether poor people can steal the food. Remember that unfettered free market capitalism is the system where a rich man's dog eats 5 course gourmet meals while his poor neighbor's child dies of hunger. Putting something necessary for survival behind an arbitrary chalked in line and saying "sorry, you don't get to have that because you weren't born rich and the neoliberal market economy has transitioned and has no room for your skillset, enjoy your one free death, maybe when you are reincarnated your father will be named Koch" is a very fast way to start riots and anarchy. The only reason the rich are rich is because the poor believe they are and act accordingly, we call this belief structure market society and government; shattering that necessary illusion will likely hurt everyone, but it most definitely hurts the rich. The point is that if food is available but inaccessible to the poor the free market and governmental structure in place will cease to exist -- the market and government have evolved in a very careful way to prevent this from happening.


> It is impossible to separate the food industry from government interference, they are permanently symbiotically joined.

I'm sorry, but I don't buy this assertion of yours, and since we disagree on something so fundamental we're unlikely to be able to have a useful discussion.

> which is exactly what has happened in every unregulated industry in the history of the world.

This is an extremely strong claim which requires extremely strong evidence. Do you have any?

> the entire crux of health care is not only that it is essential to living and therefore has an infinite price

By this logic any action which carries any risk of reducing your life span and is not absolutely necessary should not be done. Do you live your life that way? Does anyone?

> unfettered free market capitalism is the system where a rich man's dog eats 5 course gourmet meals while his poor neighbor's child dies of hunger

This certainly happens in systems that are regulated by governments--such as ours. Where is your evidence that it happens, and is worse, in systems that are not regulated by governments?

> if food is available but inaccessible to the poor

In a free market, what would prevent the poor from producing their own food? In the US, historically, this is how most people got their food--they grew it or hunted it or fished for it themselves. Or they lived in small communities where everyone knew each other personally, so they knew the people producing their food. Our current system, in which almost all of us are dependent on a small number of food producers whom we don't know and cannot influence on our own, is, as you appear to agree, a product of massive government regulation--combined, as you conveniently forgot to state, with massive regulatory capture on the part of the corporations that own most of the food production capacity.

Yes, the government inspects food to see that it doesn't contain harmful microbes--but people knew how to do that before the government got into the act (if not, humans would have gone extinct long ago from food poisoning). The government also subsidizes the production of high fructose corn syrup and factory farmed meat and poultry. It subsidizes wheat and corn so that most of the US's acreage goes to those crops instead of a greater and healthier variety. (And then it subsidizes ethanol from corn so that we can burn food in our cars while poor people starve.) I could go on and on. Why does the government do all these things? Because it has the power to do it, and that power can be bought, and has been.

Of course this system, now that it exists and we are all caught in it, is by no means simple to escape from. But that does not mean it was inevitable, nor that it is good.


One of the motivations for Medicaid expansion in the ACA was to reduce the number of no-pay emergency room visits.


Food is extremely predictable. Expensive medical care is not. Unfortunately the emergency / end of life care is by far the most expensive. You can get maybe a thousand flight physicals for the cost of one really good heart attack.

Also once "the system" has its claws in you, you can't leave in practice even if its theoretically legally possible. My MiL goes in with stomach upset vomiting urgent care, next thing you know she's getting admitted something to do with gallbladder removal. In theory she legally could have vomited her way out of the hospital with an IV attached into the parking lot to another, cheaper hospital to have her gallbladder removed (or whatever it was) but in practice this isn't happening.


> emergency / end of life care

Emergency care, yes, that's unpredictable, and that's the sort of thing that health insurance should cover.

End of life care is not always unpredictable. In fact it rarely is in terms of the general need. Yes, you can't predict the exact point in time at which an 80-year-old person, say, will have an event that makes them require assisted living or a nursing home, but you can certainly foresee well in advance that such a need will arise at some point around that age. So this is not an unexpected need in the sense that emergency care is. And there's no reason why the same health plan should have to cover both needs, yet that is what the US health system does.

> you can't leave in practice even if its theoretically legally possible

Yes, this example of yours is an case of an unexpected need that health insurance should cover. However, I don't know of any "health insurance" in the US that only covers cases of unexpected need like this, and does not also cover everything else that is in any way involved with health care.


People like to think competition results in variety, like the difference between Walmart and Nordstrom.

The reality is the unified vocational training and the court system and malpractice insurance system and fluidity of employee transfers and government licensing standards mean the variety in care available is more like the difference between McDonalds and Burger King and this aspect is extremely carefully avoided in the debates. Price competition simply will not happen in medical care, theres a lot more required to initiate it than merely messing with the insurance system, it goes very deep.

I think you miss the difficulty of walking out in mid treatment. Yes sure in theory its possible for people to get reservations at three restaurants and eat appetizers and drinks at one, the main meal at the second, and desert at the third. In practice roughly zero people do this even though in the restaurant marketplace they're hopefully not in pain or dying or semi-senile or some other medical distress, and their family isn't panicking. To get the restaurant marketplace analogy correct above, you'd have to use McDonalds, Burger King, and Wendys as your examples, so even if you wandered back and forth between restaurants, the bill would be about the same in the end if not higher on a system perspective from all the paperwork and increased transactional costs. The main, possibly only, effect of playing patient "hot potatoe" would be increasing suffering of sick people.


> the unified vocational training and the court system and malpractice insurance system and fluidity of employee transfers and government licensing standards mean the variety in care available is more like the difference between McDonalds and Burger King

In other words, regulations, mostly from the government, prevents competition from resulting in variety. I propose to fix it by less regulation--letting more of the benefits of competition be realized. You propose to fix that--how, exactly? With more regulation?

> Price competition simply will not happen in medical care

In the current regulatory regime, you are correct, it won't, because there is no incentive for it. But that's not because price competition is inherently impossible in health care? Or is it because the regulations are removing the incentives for it?

> I think you miss the difficulty of walking out in mid treatment.

I agree that it's hard to change providers in mid treatment when it's urgent, yes. But urgent care is not the only opportunity you have to evaluate providers. In a competitive environment, smart providers would view ordinary care like annual physicals or shots as opportunities to show potential patients their competence, and smart patients would take such opportunities to evaluate the competence of providers. Plus, families and friends can pool information--people do that now. The value of such information is limited now because there is not much choice in the marketplace, yes (hence your McDonalds vs. Burger King analogy). But, once more, why is there such limited choice? Because competition is inherently impossible in this domain? Or because it's regulated out of existence?


The free market rewards people with money. The problems in healthcare aren't really being felt by people with money.


That's not hard to believe, it only requires an ignorance of economics. Cheers


.

> People do not grasp how much of this insanity is codified by law and rule, and when they are informed of it, they shrug it off in the name of "safety."

Not to make minimize the problem, but this feels a bit like privacy in IT (or lack thereof) due to government overreach.

People care much less about something when they are not directly impacted (or think they're not impacted).


Great story. And now do the comparison with airlines, for example. Or is "safety" as an argument fine there?


It's well known within the medical field that being a doctor is really really tough. It takes a lot of smarts and grueling years in residency before you officially become a doctor.

However it also pays incredibly well. Even moreso for specialities and surgeons, who can make over 200k a year even in low cost of living areas. Despite the difficulties of being a doctor it's harder to get into medical school than ever. The difficulties are not deterring med students.

I don't feel bad for people that go into this profession then complain about how hard it is. It's extremely well known within the medical field that being a doctor is grueling. That's why it pays so well. And it's not like this is a new development. It's been like this for decades.

Complaining about it is akin to working on an oil rig and complaining about poor work conditions. It's pretty damn obvious that you're going to have poor work conditions from the start.

Nobody is forcing you to be a doctor, your school credentials plus MD is probably enough to swing a decent job in almost any field. Doctors are some of the most employable people out there.

I just find it rediculous that were having a "poor doctors" discussion when it's the second highest paying profession in the richest country in the world. Get over it.


They work very hard to provide a valuable service to people in need.

Contrast that with what exactly is provided by healthcare insurance executives, bankers, lawyers, lobbyists, and certain departments in government.

To be blunt: once you note the fact that other countries in the world can provide healthcare at fractions of the cost, it's obvious those insurance execs, politicians, and lobbyists are eating value, not creating it. The contrast is that Doctors actually produce something of value.


I'd like to see you maintain your "cry me a river" perspective when the doctor tasked with saving your kids life is burnt out and going through a divorce because of his chosen career.

And even if I were to agree with your premises, do we really want a system that selects for the kind of doctors who are willing to put themselves and their loved ones through years of hell in exchange for an eventual high and stable paycheck? What kind of people are these? Are they the kind of people you'll trust to treat your scared child gently and empathetically?


You act as if the alternative is free. Will you maintain the same "life at any cost" mentality when your insurance premiums or taxes increase to the point that you can no longer afford them? If you lower the cost of healthcare you increase access, you can raise the costs involved and provide better care but less people will be able to use it. It isn't as simple as you postulated.


200k is also on the low end. A friend of mine just finished her residency and is making almost twice that now. I did some on-site PC service for a few doctors in a job about a decade ago. They literally all had 911s and mansions. Anecdotal sure, but from what I've seen, doctors here are loaded. Anesthesiologist always seemed like the best gig....you work a few days a week, set up your schedule months ahead of time, bring in your kit and pump the person full of drugs, sit there and watch the screen for however long the surgery takes, bring them back to life, then go home with a few grand. The anesthesiologist is typically an independent contractor.


It's great until a patient dies and you have to inform their families. You are keeping a living being in a state between life and death chemically while they are undergoing massive trauma. Do you know how much their malpractice insurance is?

It's not just hard work to become a doctor. It's hard work and sustained excellence. You don't just put in the hours, you have consume an enormous amount of information and are tested on it constantly through the education process. You have to take on enormous personal risk financially in loans. You very frequently have to make large personal sacrifice in your life to get to the point of board certification.

Some get paid great, most get paid well, but if you know more than a few doctors you would probably be less glib. /me not a doctor.


You are keeping a living being in a state between life and death chemically while they are undergoing massive trauma.

Why can't this be automated?


Its almost exactly analogous to being an airline pilot, everything easy enough to automate was automated multiple human generations ago, now the primary purpose of the human is judgment calls, emergencies, monitoring, what boils down to non-computer systems administration using hopefully sterile biochemical machinery rather than CPUs and disks, equipment failures ...



You possess an uninformed opinion of what it takes to practice medicine at an acceptable level.


So it's okay that doctor's commit suicide because at least they're paid well?


It pays well because supply is constrained and demand is inelastic.

It isn't clear how much the grueling training actually factors in to limiting the supply.


There are plenty of dropouts at every step. Probably the biggest drop-off is the PGY-1 year (internship). That's when you really find out if you can cope with clinical medicine. Staff physicians only want interns and residents to do the scut work they don't want to do: in house call, dis-impacting old ladies in the ER, etc. If it wasn't for the parts that suck, they would assure you they can handle the hospital without residents just fine. I suppose that's why teaching hospitals consistently deliver better care: because the staff can do everything just fine. If it wasn't for parts that suck.


I think the attitude you have is really common among doctors, too.

I will say thought, that this is a really typical path in the US, at least:

* 4 years undergraduate ($200K debt, high competition/workload)

* 4 years medical school ($250K debt, high stress/workload, 50% odds of not being accepted)

* ~3 years residency (pay only $50K/yr, famously high stress/workload, possibility of being separated from loved ones or making hard choices in residency match)

So assuming starting undergrad at age 17, you have had a tough 11 years and are at least $300K in debt by the time you are 28 and getting your certification. This is ignoring specialties with fellowships. I don't have the time, but I'm sure it's possible to estimate the quality of the time sacrificed to education and lost compensation during that time and then amortize that over a typical career.

And the field is different... after all of that training they get to spend an inordinate amount of time doing paperwork/fighting with insurers, which (seems to be) leading to more group practices with workloads like those described in the article.


Bingo. Also, there is a nontrivial chance of going to med school but not getting into a residency program. And, residency is typically 4 years, not 3. In the case of my partner, she did undergrad (4) + post-bacc (2) + med school (4) + residency (4) + optional fellowship (3). So call it 12-17 years of training. Then, and only then, do you make a "starting doctor salary". But now you have hundreds of thousands in debt, interest payments, malpractice insurance, and, in some specialties, still insane hours.

If you're a doctor who is "doing it for the money", you have simply not understood the concept of opportunity cost. :)


I tried to err on the side of understating things (I found higher figures for cost estimates as well knowing residencies/fellowships could go a lot longer... and that was ignoring continuting education/certification/training and costs of running a practice). I think that people see the dollar figures for some specialist and make two errors: extrapolate it to all doctors and ignore the huge investment/risk to get there.

Congratulations to your partner (and you)! I for one still think its a noble and altruistic calling.


People have to get out of the mindset that all doctors get paid well. Please. This is so incredibly inaccurate and makes it hard for conditions to improve for doctors that do not do well.

The hourly rate for some doctors (mostly non-procedural) are much much lower than people realise and is only made up for my doing ridiculous hours. This is just not right.

This delusion that all doctors do well financially draws more poor students into the long training commitment only to find out at the end that with all the debt and sacrificed family hours and stress (having been through this) they are going nowhere financially.

Looking after patients can be a great and fulfilling career but this depends so much on the particular speciality you choose and the work life balance that it provides.

Next time you see your ED physician or family practitioner feel sorry for them. The shit and conditions they deal with and poor renumeration is something you simply don't understand.


> However it also pays incredibly well. Even moreso for specialities and surgeons, who can make over 200k a year even in low cost of living areas. Despite the difficulties of being a doctor it's harder to get into medical school than ever. The difficulties are not deterring med students.

I wonder how many doctors would be up for "sharing work (and compensation)" - in other words, would a doctor be OK with dropping his comp to $150K (from $200K) so the savings can be used to add a third more doctors to the staff? The "relief" in working conditions may well be worth it, for the doctor's sanity of course, but also for the patients (and all of the benefits down the line from having fewer mistakes, etc).

It's obviously not the only dimension that can be played with to help, but it's one that could be fairly straightforward to implement, as long as there is enough supply of applicants to increase the workforce.


It depends on the speciality. Internal medicine and almost anything related to pediatrics tends to pay less than other fields. Surgical fields tend to pay much more.

My wife is a pediatric emergency medicine physician and I get paid more than her because I'm in tech. Also, I started my career and began earning an income right after college, whereas she went to medical school and a fellowship before she could begin earning income.

I always joke with her that, in terms of income efficiency, my field is way more profitable than hers. And a lot less stressful too.


None of what you say negates the need to make improvements. Doctor workload impacts the quality of care, therefore we should investigate solutions and mitigate the problem where possible.


Definitely does not pay well in UK


If handoff risk were inversely related to shift length then one would expect European hospitals that adhere to the EU Working Time Directive to have significantly worse outcomes than both US and UK.

Is this the case? Or do they not adhere to the working time directive?


We don't adhere to the EWTD.

I think a UK doctor's hours are probably easier than a US doctor's but we all break the EWTD (except for some specialties like psychiatry). For example I am rostered to work an average 48 hours a week, although there are some weeks I work more, and I will often stay behind to get things done. My total hours per week is probably around 50 - and I'm in a job that isn't considered busy!


If docs didn't slot 15 minutes per patient, then they would need to charge each patient much, much more or make much, much less. There is no other way around that.


Or, perhaps, do something about the layer (lawyers) after layer (coders) after layer (nurses) after layer (administration) after layer (...) of "support" staff?

I'm willing to bet that something to relieve the massive amount of "other" stuff needed besides the Doctor would go a LOOOOOONG way...

That doesn't even tackle stuff like inability to see how much something actually costs - and shop around for stuff other than the ER.

15 minutes per patient isn't the answer...


I observe that doctors somehow managed to make a living before 15 minute visits.


Indeed. I observe that women somehow managed without 32% of all births being Cesarean[1]. The last time I looked up that figure a few years ago it was 24%. What a racket.

[1] https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/delivery.htm




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