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Much will depend on exactly what batteries cost in 10-15 years, or whenever the current batteries start to fail.

If they still cost $25,000, then yeah, that's probably going to be a poor value proposition.

If they cost, say, $5,000, then no problem!

If Tesla and others start selling ~$35,000 cars with 200+ mile ranges in the next couple of years, then I think it's going to be closer to the latter scenario. But it's hard to know for sure.



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