Why not a credit card charge back? That’s what it’s for (assuming he paid with one)

Among other reasons (good citizen, not getting permabanned…), chargebacks aren't really a thing in Europe — they often require a police report, etc. Amex being the exception, but this wasn't.

Because I assume they want to be able to use it, not be banned forever.

I don’t know if I’d want to do business with a company after being treated like that.

Pedestrian traffic deaths are going down again after peaking in 2022. Accidents are less survivable in the US due to bigger cars and higher hoods.

Quote from CDC

During 2013–2022, U.S. traffic-related death rates increased a relative 50.0% for pedestrians and 22.5% overall, compared with those in 27 other high-income countries, where they declined a median of 24.7% and 19.4%, respectively. Across countries, U.S. pedestrian death rates were highest overall and among persons aged 15–24 and 25–64 years.

Better a drone be shot down than a crewed P-8 no?

I don't think we know if it was shot down or crashed from malfunction

Or EW taken over like RQ-170 Sentinel 15 years ago.

Business idea - Iran Bitcoin fee intermediary. Realistically the CIA will handle this for US companies and maybe allies until they figure something out.

Didn't Tornado Cash get un-sanctioned recently? Can't you just use that?

98% uptime is not great. Our eng department is thinking about going half half with Codex but of course there’s a switching cost.

I'm VERY curious about your case. What kind of switching costs do you guys have? I'm working at a very young startup that is still not locked into either AI provider harnesses -- what causes switching costs, just the subscription leftovers or something else?

subscription leftovers are noise. the real switching cost is the harness glue.

prompts. tool calling quirks. evals. auth. retries. all the weird failure modes your team already paid to learn.

FYI I use my Codex models with Claude code and they work pretty great. It can even pick up on existing conversations w/ Opus and then resume w/ OAI models.

I answered 8/10 correctly but mostly on instinct, for example betting that the Trump tweet is misleading. Opus 4.6 got 9/10 correct. You might need an internal time limit (don't show the user) and some strawberry questions.

In the case of Iraq, they lied on purpose to support the invasion. In the case of Iran, Trump just ignored the intelligence. I do think the intelligence community is capable. For example, they warned of the Russian invasion weeks before it happened when all other European countries said it wouldn’t.

> all other European countries said it wouldn’t

This is false, France made a misstep and even fired the head of French military intelligence because of the failure to predict the invasion and Germany was also notably skeptical. Other countries like UK, Poland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania were on board that the invasion was going to happen.

On the Strait of Hormuz and surrounds they were capable.

Not always the case though: https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/98-672.html

I think also the actual Chernobyl fallout might have something to do with it. They just declared wild mushrooms safe to eat last year, 40 years later.

Of course I agree with you though. This fear based approach doesn’t matter when France, Switzerland and Belgium have tens of reactors on the border.

It’s a tale as old as time: start a war to support the military industrial complex. Imagine a $4 billion investment into public transportation or parks. Every 10 years we can invest into a new city instead of bombing some kids overseas (whose siblings, fueled by hatred, then commit terror attacks on the west).