So in 2008 when he attacked Georgia back then Polish president Lech told such thing: "first Georgia, then Ukraine then baltic states, then maybe our country". Maybe he read it right and in 2010 it was assassination like some suspect and not "an accident".
IMO lots of EU parties are in Russian pocket and this is nothing good.
This is dark scenario but if they got deal with China, we are all fucked. They will make mess in EU so they can focus on East Asia/Middle East. US is overleveraged and once oil != $ is done.
PiS is acting surprisingly competent, so I think big brother migh be helping them. There's only 3 powers that have direct interest here: Russia, Germany and US.
We had real goveremnt for less than month after 89, then we got russian puppets.
PO, Nowoczesna is definitely pro EU = Germany. Tusk wanted to be singer but failed so he sold the country to Germans. I would even like EU federation but older people (>50yo) are definitely agaist it.
Actually it's during short PiS rule that Poland joined EU and retained own currency. Both good decision in retrospective.
This time around they are 100% propaganda mode and this Pegasus use is definitely overreach. Make no mistake during PO days they also raided and poor teenageers. Now at least it's limited to oposition. Think Aaron Shwarz case.
But TBH they are better at ruling than alternatives and history shows you need to have strong grasp to pull up so to say. If anyone thinks that Germans will allow Polish economy to catch up while they rule is mistaken.
They want to have cheap labor nearby border and Ukrainians prefer to work in PL due to language, which makes PL economy very competitive. Good play would be to make Ukraine part of EU but RUS won't allow it, so next best play for Germany is to win propaganda game in PL or just let Russians pick Ukraine so it's win-win for both Russia and Germany. With nord stream 2 from our PoV it's Ribbentrop-Molotov lite.
I wish there was some better party to vote.
Why I think US is aiding PiS? Germans are their biggest competitors in the west. If they lose race with China then US future will depend on India, Russia and EU. They will want a wry here and Poland is perfect for that, which makes me nervous TBH.
Geopolitically we are like Taiwan or SK of Asia (wry against Japan and China).
So in 2008 when he attacked Georgia back then Polish president Lech told such thing: "first Georgia, then Ukraine then baltic states, then maybe our country". Maybe he read it right and in 2010 it was assassination like some suspect and not "an accident".
IMO lots of EU parties are in Russian pocket and this is nothing good.
This is dark scenario but if they got deal with China, we are all fucked. They will make mess in EU so they can focus on East Asia/Middle East. US is overleveraged and once oil != $ is done.