In those cases you’ve seen firsthand, who is actually using Claude design (or similar tools) to create the good enough design?

The important point is that 2 years ago these AI tools were like 20% percentile for UX designers, today it is as good as a junior or normal UI UX Developer, 2 years from now it will be in 90th percentile, etc

But again: who is actually using/commanding the tool to create the designs?

Someone who is wearing more hats than they used to.

And then in 2 years after what, what will happen?

Wouldn’t it be wiser to ignore the messages of adversaries and marketers rather than suggesting people kill themselves?

Who hasn’t fallen prey to marketing and propaganda on social media?

Advertising works despite your active efforts to avoid it.

Bill Hicks was a comedian. It's not advice.

to be fair he does say in the bit that its not a joke.

Well, i highly recommend reacting to advertising aggressively in order to store the memory along with a feeling of repulsion (e.g. swearing, middle finger) to attempt to dissaude the subconscious from retrieving it without revulsion in the future.

I think the point of the bit though is to aggressively point out that advertising corrupts our world for their benefit and if advertisers or marketers had a soul they'd realise they were actively making the world worse and move to a different industry. Meaning the only ones the message is for are sociopaths that know what they're doing and don't care.

Interestingly enough: earlier today this discussion was trending: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47769089 (Cybersecurity looks like proof of work now)

the article here is pretty clearly a response to the one you posted

It’s only clear if you know it exists, and now I know it exists thanks to gp.

That idea is actually a perfect example for a good use of vibe coding.

It was just an idea first, now it’s a decent website to test the viability of the idea.

I don’t think it was intended for anything else than so if there is real demand for this.

I lost you on the "decent website" part. OP's whole point is that the site isn't working. Lol

Nice job! Is there a way to double click on any name to see more details on the person like previous positions or current compensation?

Thanks - currently the name just links to a basic linkedin search but this is a good idea for a future feature

What about karpathy though?

Smart guy phoning it in now - realized a few weeks ago that he “notices” something interesting to share, but is really paraphrasing a recently released paper that found it - without giving paper credit.

Wasn't Karpathy the guy who used to work for tesla and that tried to convince everyone that you only need cameras for self-driving and that by 2025 there wouldn't be anymore cars without self-driving capabilities to sell?

What's that?

Villain from ghost busters 2

Sigmoids look a lot like exponentials early on.

We can’t say for sure yet which trajectory we are on.

With the hype QC these days, I find it hard to separate hype from real progress.

Reminds me the state of nuclear fusion.

Just a decade away now.

That's progress, if fusion is always only 10 years away now! The running joke used to be that it was always 30 years away.

Fusion is a number of dollars away, not years. It gets almost no funding because it’sa science and engineering experiment that most likely will not lead to economically viable power plants in a market dominated by renewables.

… and like fusion it will be a decade away, a decade away, a decade away, six months away, then we have it.

The “decade away” phenomenon comes from the fact that it’s basically impossible to time estimate innovation.

I went to school in Oxfordshire in the '80s. Some visiting profs from JET joked that fusion was 25 years away then.

Back then things were centered around "can we even do this?" and now it's more of "how do we keep this running more than 5 minutes?".

My impression back then from those profs was that it (fusion) would be inevitable but you do have to think long term, really long term. I'm old enough now (55) to understand that mentality.

I'd put money on something useful fusion related happening within the next 10 years or perhaps 20. I'm not up on the current state of experiments etc but it will happen.

AGI? - lol!

AFAIK superconductors are a major limiting tech. But we are slowly getting better ones, both by discovering more and by learning to mass produce superconducting wire.

With superconductors you can make magnetic bottles.

There’s also some interesting inertial confinement work happening. There the limiter is both confinement and the efficiency of the driver. Look up MagLIF for a hybrid magnetic inertial approach under study.

... and room temperature superconductors! If only we could sort out the feasibility, interdependencies, and priorities, but we just don't know, or well, I just don't know haha.

That's String Theory providing "answers", no?

So just like AI?

They should ask Iran to do it, they're only a month away all the time.

Nah, it's a decade away from *now*.

nahhh, definately from *now* though - 100% this time

For those of us who aren't familiar, what is the difference?

The difference is how soon it might occur, except "now" can also mean they never get around to it.

"Right now" is probably the only one that literally means now as the rest of the English-speaking world would assume.

most of them live in a different time zone

The ETH article title is actually fine - "a new trick brings stability."

The hype is in the HN title.

That’s why we have “reading”. Literally the first paragraph. So in this case, pretty easy to separate.

My biggest issue with Europe is not that we work less. I lived in the US for a while, and I can confirm they stay longer in the office but get the same amount done.

My biggest issue is that we have focused for too long on managing (regulating) and redistributing wealth instead of creating new sources of wealth.

We are obsessed with slicing and controlling the pie instead of creating new ones for everybody.

That mindset might cost us the future of our children.

Is there a point where enough (per capita) wealth has been created? Where there is enough pie to go around for everyone, and we have no need to create more pies?

I am sure we can all argue about where that point is, but I wonder if we agree that there is such a point? Or do we have to keep increasing our wealth forever?

The issue is that the world is changing and we have no means to stop that. If you don't create new pies, people come and eat your existing pies...

Look at the auto industry for example.

If Chinese decide to invest into EVs etc. we can't stand on the side lines and so, no we want the world / our wealth to stay like it is.

But that's how we operate. We operate as if we have decided it's enough, now everybody please stop.

Re leadership: none of my smart friends wants to be politician. Maybe that’s the root cause.

You are right. European civil society does not reward initiative and so its political class chooses to mislead than bring clarity. Work is not rewarded.

From recent events, I like giving example of Deutschland Ticket. The German transport minister during 2020/2021 took a huge political risk of challenging existing system, made life much more easier for normal person. What happened to his political career? The guy is nowhere to be seen.